this post was submitted on 30 Aug 2024
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Former B.C. Liberal minister says he may vote NDP, as Eby woos disaffected centrists (www.castanetkamloops.net)
submitted 2 months ago by Beaver@lemmy.ca to c/britishcolumbia@lemmy.ca
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[–] Arkouda@lemmy.ca 6 points 2 months ago (3 children)

I think the downfall of BCU is going to be a good thing for the NDP overall.

The BC Conservatives are only going to be taking the nuts from the BCU and leaving everyone else behind due to their incredibly extreme views on everything from climate change to reproductive rights.

No one from the center is going hard right and it would be incredibly shocking if the BC Conservatives managed to win any real number of seats with their bat shit crazy platform.

[–] FreeBooteR69@lemmy.ca 8 points 2 months ago

Add to the fact that BCers find the NDP do a decent enough job anyway, and why risk a stable situation by voting for corrupt extremists who don't believe in reality.

[–] TSG_Asmodeus@lemmy.world 1 points 2 months ago (2 children)

No one from the center is going hard right and it would be incredibly shocking if the BC Conservatives managed to win any real number of seats with their bat shit crazy platform.

I have some bad news.

[–] moistclump@lemmy.world 2 points 2 months ago (2 children)

I’m so confused by this website and so so many ads.

[–] Someone@lemmy.ca 2 points 2 months ago

I've never seen ads inserted into an infographic before.

[–] TSG_Asmodeus@lemmy.world 1 points 2 months ago

Oh, I have ublock origin so I don't see any, sucks it's that bad.

[–] Arkouda@lemmy.ca -1 points 2 months ago (1 children)

https://338canada.com/bc/

I have some good news, specifically the projections for odds to win most seats and odds to win a majority.

[–] TSG_Asmodeus@lemmy.world 0 points 2 months ago (1 children)

That was what, 15% between the NDP and Cons a month or two ago? The lead is shrinking quickly.

[–] Arkouda@lemmy.ca -1 points 2 months ago (1 children)

You know what is fun?

How you immediately gave away the fact you are here in bad faith pushing polls to stoke fear in a Conservative win.

You know how I know this?

You posted this: https://338canada.com/bc/polls.htm

Which is dated the same as the link I gave you (https://338canada.com/bc/) because it is a part of the same data package. The difference is I didn't cherry pick.

That was what, 15% between the NDP and Cons a month or two ago? The lead is shrinking quickly.

But according to you, that is simply too far back to matter. Which is weird, because again, you provided the cherry picked data. I simply provided the rest of what you left out.

[–] TSG_Asmodeus@lemmy.world 0 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

But according to you, that is simply too far back to matter. Which is weird, because again, you provided the cherry picked data.

What? The BC Cons went from so far behind the BC NDP/United, whatever they're called, to a few percentage points behind the NDP.

Scroll down on your link to the British Columbia | Popular vote projection.

On April 14th, 2023, the Cons were polling at 5%. A year and four months later, on August 14th, they're polling at 38%. Look at that insane upward curve.

[–] Arkouda@lemmy.ca -1 points 2 months ago (1 children)

I don't need to scroll down as the popular vote is at the top of my link. You would know that, and the fact that my link is just a better version of yours, if you actually were here in good faith and followed the link.

The NDP, using the source you provided, have a 78% chance of winning a majority government even with the popular vote being as close as it is. The popular vote is the only metric the BCCons look good in, which is why it is the only metric people like you are using.

It is also important to point out that the popular vote is not based on a poll, which is explicitly stated, and even less meaningful than it would be otherwise:

"This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here."

Take care now, bye bye then.

[–] TSG_Asmodeus@lemmy.world 0 points 2 months ago (1 children)

This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support.

And the support of the Cons is trending up. I feel like you missed that part.

[–] uzi@lemmy.ca -2 points 2 months ago (1 children)

What have the NDP done to address the cost of living for married families and people wanting to marry? Apparently 1 out 3 individuals want to leave BC for more sustainable living expenses.

[–] Arkouda@lemmy.ca 0 points 2 months ago

What have the NDP done to address the cost of living for married families and people wanting to marry?

Why does the NDP have to specifically help with the cost of living for married families or people who wish to be married?

Apparently 1 out 3 individuals want to leave BC for more sustainable living expenses.

Apparently eh? What is making this made up statistic so apparent to you?