Due to the huge difference in numbers between Threads and the Fediverse, if Threads implements groups (in a similar fashion to Mastodon), those would directly compete with Lemmy communities.
Once those communities are created and have millions of users, people will probably join them, as they have the most users. Once this is done, Threads could then implement new features and explain that they cannot federate anymore, forcing people to move to Threads. This article details what happened with XMPP and GChat: https://ploum.net/2023-06-23-how-to-kill-decentralised-networks.html
We (users of Reddthat) already see the natural tendency of most of the users to gravitate towards the most populated instance (LW) and its communities. This trend would become exponential with the numbers difference between Threads and the Fediverse.
As I mentioned elsewhere, Zuckerberg is currently the top fediverse user: https://fedidb.org/popular-fediverse-accounts?page=1
Due to the huge difference in numbers between Threads and the Fediverse, if Threads implements groups (in a similar fashion to Mastodon), those would directly compete with Lemmy communities.
Once those communities are created and have millions of users, people will probably join them, as they have the most users. Once this is done, Threads could then implement new features and explain that they cannot federate anymore, forcing people to move to Threads. This article details what happened with XMPP and GChat: https://ploum.net/2023-06-23-how-to-kill-decentralised-networks.html
We (users of Reddthat) already see the natural tendency of most of the users to gravitate towards the most populated instance (LW) and its communities. This trend would become exponential with the numbers difference between Threads and the Fediverse.