• IdiosyncraticIdiot@sh.itjust.works
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    10 months ago

    I wouldn’t call myself a master at stats, but maybe learned since I use stats daily as a data engineer. This is called the Small Sample Fallacy and suffers self selection bias (as in, samples are choosing on their own to take the survey).

    People who commit the small sample fallacy can be said to assume that a small random sample should be as reliable as, and as regular as, a large random sample, but not too regular.

    You put in the wrong numbers, the margin of error is lower, but that’s a moot point because it falls into fallacy.

    These are they same fallacies that lead to “every” 2016 election poll saying Hillary was going to win… We all know how that went.