There is hardly a concensus on that. There are supporters, sceptics, and marketing departments in very large company’s who have spent an awful lot of money on hype.
LLMs are generative models. They’ve learned a distribution to model conversion, and they allow you to sample from that distribution. They aren’t “thinking” about what they say. They haven’t crossed the syntax-semantics barrier. There is no “general intelligence”.
They just feel impressive because humans are language-centric.
AGI doesn’t have to think, it has to be able to perform any task it’s given. The models available today are far more capable than anyone predicted. With plugins available to it (which by the way, no one expected it to be able to use), it can perform tasks other than generation. All the data points towards this capability only getting better. Maybe “impending” was too strong a word, but I stand by the idea that it’s coming sooner than we expected.
Artificial General Intelligence. Definitions vary, but in general it’s an AI system that can perform any task it’s given, usually with the caveat of being smarter than humans.
For me as a programmer it’s definitely the advent of LLMs like GPT-4 and the impending AGI.
If you think GPT has taken us meaningfully closure to AGI then I, er, have a drawing of an ape to sell you.
The top minds in the industry seem to think it’s a big step at the very least. It’s already proving to be more versatile than we ever expected.
There is hardly a concensus on that. There are supporters, sceptics, and marketing departments in very large company’s who have spent an awful lot of money on hype.
At best, it is far too early to tell.
AGI is far from impending.
LLMs are generative models. They’ve learned a distribution to model conversion, and they allow you to sample from that distribution. They aren’t “thinking” about what they say. They haven’t crossed the syntax-semantics barrier. There is no “general intelligence”.
They just feel impressive because humans are language-centric.
AGI doesn’t have to think, it has to be able to perform any task it’s given. The models available today are far more capable than anyone predicted. With plugins available to it (which by the way, no one expected it to be able to use), it can perform tasks other than generation. All the data points towards this capability only getting better. Maybe “impending” was too strong a word, but I stand by the idea that it’s coming sooner than we expected.
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What is AGI?
Artificial General Intelligence. Definitions vary, but in general it’s an AI system that can perform any task it’s given, usually with the caveat of being smarter than humans.